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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 04/29 11:45
Cattle Trade Higher While Hogs Dip Lower
Traders are taking a cautious approach to the lean hog complex this morning
as they need to see more fundamentals before they'll feel confident enough to
take on some technical market resistance.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
It's been a mixed morning for the livestock complex as the cattle contract
continues to trade higher, but the lean hog complex needs more fundamental
support before its contracts will be able to trade higher. No developments have
surfaced in the cash market and won't likely be until Thursday or Friday. May
corn is down 10 1/2 cents per bushel and May soybean meal is up $0.40. The Dow
Jones Industrial Average is up 265.32 points and NASDAQ is up 27.09 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
The live cattle complex continues to diligently trade higher and higher
seeming to shock even the most bullish-minded folks. Etching out new contract
highs is currently the market's norm, and with ample fundamental support, it's
anyone's guess at this point where the top could be. June live cattle are up
$1.12 at $210.75, August live cattle are up $1.10 at $206.42 and October live
cattle are up $0.95 at $204.07. Nothing has surfaced yet for this week's cash
cattle trade, and it's not likely that anything will before Thursday or Friday.
Feedlot managers are again going to aim for higher prices, but with packers
cutting throughput drastically, steady prices may be the best feedlot managers
get this week unless packers are still short-bought.
Boxed beef prices are mixed: choice is up $3.42 ($346.19) and select is down
$0.31 ($324.81) with a movement of 61 loads (27.95 loads of choice, 11.18 loads
of select, 13.69 loads of trim and 8.11 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
The feeder cattle complex is hungry for more and it's not being bashful
about how it is aggressively trading higher. May feeders are up $3.00 at
$294.80, August feeders are up $2.65 at $297.60 and September feeders are up
$2.32 at $296.40. And thankfully, the feeder cattle complex has been robustly
supported in terms of fundamental support as buyers are actively seeking out
calves/feeders to sure up their orders as turn out season is quickly
approaching.
LEAN HOGS:
Although pork cutout values are slightly higher, the lean hog contracts are
trading mostly lower as traders simply need more fundamental encouragement. The
market has posted a considerable rally since the first week of April, but now
that traders are feeling some resistance pressure, it seems as though traders
are scratching their heads and looking around for more support. June lean hogs
are down $0.80 at $100.20, July lean hogs are down $0.65 at $100.57 and August
lean hogs are down $0.20 at $99.02.
The projected lean hog index for 4/28/2025 is up $0.60 at $88.78, and the
actual index for 4/25/2025 is up $0.64 at $88.18. Hog prices average $92.76 on
the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report, ranging from $87.00 to $94.00 on 3,830
head and a five-day rolling average of $91.62. Pork cutouts total 175.86 loads
with 159.84 loads of pork cuts and 16.02 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up
$0.30, $97.92.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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