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DTN Midday Grain Comments 05/20 10:52
Corn, Wheat Futures Higher at Midday; Soybeans Mixed
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are
narrowly mixed; wheat futures are 8 to 14 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are
narrowly mixed; wheat futures are 8 to 14 cents higher. The U.S. stock market
is weaker with the S&P 15 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index is 15 points
lower. The interest rate products are mixed. Energy trade is mixed with crude
.30 lower and natural gas .27 higher. Livestock trade is mostly lower. Precious
metals are firmer with gold up 48.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents higher at midday as we extend the Monday gains
with mixed spread action as we press back toward the next level of resistance.
Ethanol margins are under a little pressure with corn firming and unleaded
flat. Rains will slow planting this week for many, but the weekly report showed
78% planted versus 73% on average. Emergence is 50% emerged versus 38% on
average. The first condition rating will be next week. Basis should remain
fairly sideways near term. Double crop in Brazil continues to develop with
little issue. On the July chart, the 20-day moving average at $4.60 is
resistance with support the recent low at $4.36 1/2.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are narrowly mixed at midday with choppy trade continuing as
we hold just below nearby resistance with meal leading quiet product action.
Meal is 1.50 to 2.50 higher and oil is 50 to 60 points lower. South American
harvest pressure will continue to fade as it hits the homestretch. Planting
will be slowed by near-term rains. But planting and emergence are well ahead at
66% planted versus 53% on average and 34% emerged versus 23% on average. Basis
should remain sideways short term. On the July chart, resistance is the 20-day
moving average at $10.54, which we remain just below, with the Lower Bollinger
Band at $10.33 as support.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 8 to 14 cents higher at midday with broader short-covering
as KC trade pushes back through nearby resistance. The hard red wheat areas are
expected to see near normal moisture for the balance of the month with spring
wheat areas plenty wet for now. Weekly crop progress showing good to excellent
down 2% to 52% and 18% poor to very poor. Heading is at 64% versus 57% on
average, with spring wheat 82% planted versus 65% on average, and 45% emerged
versus 34% on average. MATIF wheat is solidly higher Tuesday, adding support.
Weekly export inspections were OK at 423,785 metric tons (mt) with year-to-date
pace at 116%. On the KC July chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at
$5.30, which we are just above at midday, with the next level of support the
fresh low at $5.00 1/4.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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